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    December 31

    寫在2008年的尾聲

    除夕日到了,就寫點什麽來紀念過去這麽精彩的一年好了。
    已經好久好久,沒有那種心情和意境去書寫什麽瑰麗的抒情文字了,就用時評的路子來寫吧。
     
    2008年,最大的話題,必然是兩個字“衰退”。
    2008年,貌似是中國龍騰飛的一年,史無前例成功的奧運,標誌著科技發達的神舟七號,似乎處處都顯示中國已經站起來,躋身強國之列。就連美國經濟的衰退,似乎也被普遍認爲是一個中國崛起的良機,因爲中國受傷程度似乎遠遠比不上美國,中國的底子似乎比以往任何時候都要厚實。
     
    然而,我深深地憂慮。
    我認爲,有幾點,是必須認識和討論的:
    1.金融風暴本身帶來的直接傷害,美國表面上是最慘的重災區,但在由此引申出來的經濟衰退中,中國可以成爲很大的輸家,因爲,中國經濟的引擎將會受創,而中國的主要產業將會或已經受到重創。
    2. 中國的產業和自身經濟發展的能量,正在受到前所未有的傷害。
    3. 人民利益的最直接體現-生活水準,將會遭受衝擊。
     
    這些,不單單是金融風暴的影響,很多是本身就存在的矛盾,在外部環境轉差的情況下才浮現。
    具體的就不多說了,日内會陸續寫出來,歡迎對經濟有興趣的惡一起討論。
     
    總之,希望2009,能夠國泰民安。
     

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